Order the steps for a Bayes' theorem question
Exercise and reference answers
- Steps
- Identify the events that partition the sample space
- Write down the prior probability of each partition event
- Write the probability of the observed event given each of them
- Combine them by the theorem of total probability to get P(A)
- Divide the one branch you want by that total to get P(Eᵢ|A)
Explanation
The route the chapter uses: identify the partition, write the priors, write the conditionals, total them
then divide. Source: syllabus Maths Part II, Ch 13 Probability.
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