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Order the steps for a Bayes' theorem question

Exercise and reference answers

Steps
  1. Identify the events that partition the sample space
  2. Write down the prior probability of each partition event
  3. Write the probability of the observed event given each of them
  4. Combine them by the theorem of total probability to get P(A)
  5. Divide the one branch you want by that total to get P(Eᵢ|A)

Explanation

The route the chapter uses: identify the partition, write the priors, write the conditionals, total them then divide. Source: syllabus Maths Part II, Ch 13 Probability.
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