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Flip a coin then roll a die. A is heads with an even face and B is heads with a three, so P(A) is 3/12 and P(B) is 1/12. How do A and B relate?
AThey are independent but not mutually exclusive
BThey are mutually exclusive but not independent
CThey are both mutually exclusive and independent
DThey are neither mutually exclusive nor independent
Answer & Solution
Correct answer: B. They are mutually exclusive but not independent
1. The combined experiment has 2 times 6, which is 12 equally likely outcomes.
2. Event A holds H2, H4 and H6 and event B holds H3 alone.
3. No outcome belongs to both, so the joint probability is zero and the events are mutually exclusive.
4. The product of the two probabilities is 3/12 times 1/12, which is 3/144 and is not zero.
5. Since the joint probability of zero does not match that product, the events are dependent.
6. This is the standard trap: mutually exclusive events with non-zero probabilities are always dependent, because one occurring forces the other to fail.
_Source: OpenStax Introductory Business Statistics (CC BY 4.0), Ch 3 "Probability Topics", section 3.2 Independent and Mutually Exclusive Events_
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