एका निष्पक्ष नाण्याच्या सलग पाच फेकींमध्ये काटा पडतो. पुढील फेकीमध्ये काटा पडण्याची शक्यता काय आहे?
Aतंतोतंत 0.5
B0.5 पेक्षा जास्त
C0.5 पेक्षा कमी
Dतंतोतंत 1
Answer & Solution
Correct answer: A. तंतोतंत 0.5
दुसरा विचार करणे हा जुगाऱ्याचा भ्रम (gambler's fallacy) आहे; निष्पक्ष नाण्याच्या प्रत्येक फेकीची संभाव्यता 0.5 च राहते.
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