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1% are ill; test is + for 90% of ill, 5% of healthy. P(ill | +)?

A9/10
B1/20
C2/13
D9/100
Answer & Solution
Correct answer: C. 2/13
P(ill|+) = 0.009 / (0.009 + 0.0495) = 0.009/0.0585 = 2/13, small because healthy people vastly outnumber the ill.
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